The Financial crisis in 2019

WHAT IS A CREDIT INDEX

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Great analysis and very informative @B.F.A thank you for sharing :nerd_face:

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Everything in Finance got a name. The big engine today is US and it looks positive short term for now, but there might be a bum or Trump in the road or a Brexit that can cause mayhem in global scale. And it got a name :slight_smile: Black swan event… But the big question that i have been asking myself lately is … Can Crypto be such event?

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I found this great explanation on intrinsic values.

This is a great tool for price evaluation

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S&P 500 index SPX might have pulled of a bad sign…

The transport from DJT are slowing down compare to the last 2 years

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https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/how-did-the-us-markets-respond-during-watergate/

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Wow, it’s really terrifying isn’t it @B.F.A :pensive:

This song is much like our hodl memes-

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just a short up date and i still cant say if we are heading in to financiele dark times or if we just correct.

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There are really smart people that us a lot of money on this topic, and i am a simple keyboard warrior… but can this to formations have a correlation that shows the high market are coiled up fore a crash? or is this what the market needs to get back up on track again?

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How he did he’s macro Picture…

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I have some thoughts about how ETN will act in a recession in the global stock market…
when uncertainty and fear comes to the stock market money tends to go in to safe places like commodities and that can be cell phone operators MWO. BTC was invented after last crisis because of the nature of fiat printing banks…So ETN as a crypto fore the mobile market can make a home run based of assumptions like that…any thoughts about it?

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To day i can read in the paper that a Russian oil company that is exporting 40% of the Russian oil are turning their back to USD and are trading in euro and yuan. This will overtime open for others to do the same and weekend the USD. We are not talking the end of the USD asa world currency, but a start to the end. The background for this decision is the trade war an US sanction against Iran. I do not want to talk politics and say right or wrong, but analyze the event and results.

US debt are based on the USD being a World currency and give US a “endless” money bank. The US long interest from 3 month to 30 years are not looking good, so how the FED reacts to this is only a guess. This is so close to a black swan event we can without it being it.

The central banks are now pushed more over to more money printing to keep the credit market going. The reason for that is a negative interest rate in many markets, so placing money is a loss and borrowing is positive. This cant go on forever so we can get a double effect in a recession, first we got the attack on USD and the trade war, and then we got the insane debt that will crush so many when interest rate goes positiv, so think about the results when the borrowing increase and expensive´s rocket when tha rate moves positiv. The market will price this inn and make the way out even more difficult.

The world are now heading in to unknown territories that now one knows the outcome, but we know it will be winner and losers and nothing is given at the time. i am a crypto dude, but i understand the importance of stability and slow changes. The world need time to adapt and we can only hope it is for the better. So there is a few places to keep an extra eye on, DXY, yuan, euro, oil, gold, bonds and shipping.

DOW and S&P500 will be the shortcut to see what is happening if following those index. The crypto market are a bit smale and volatile and still not veary regulated so it will not yet be the best indicator for what is happening, but we will see. This situation is new to crypto and we do not got any good historical data to rely on. So stay safe and do good things…Happy days

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@B.F.A that is scary stuff right there. Do you think the coming days will be telling, regarding this news?

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No this is nothing that moves fast, it will teak years, but can go quicker if some events happens. It starts slow and how it ends no one knows, this can just be a flash or a start of a trend. US trade and foreign policy is hard to catch, but looking beyond all the twitter noise and TV and rather see what is happening is a better way of understanding. The G7 meeting in france now can result in some changes in trade and a market reaction so this is interesting times

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When uncertainty comes in a place it can looks like that can make growth for crypto

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All I can say about this is this is good for ETN and crypto in general. This planet needs a reset and change so its going to be a good thing.

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I hope the change comes in peace and positiv development, not in big bang and disaster. We all need stability to create growth. A recession can clear the air and make new dev available and help the world in a bit different direction, but i fear a big boom will be a disaster for way to many people

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