Metcalfe's Law Price Prediction


#1

OK, I’ve heard a lot about how the value of networks like ETN can be valued with Metcalfe’s Law. Metcalfe’s Law states that “the value of a telecommunications network is is proportional to the square of the number of connected users of the system (n²).”

Has anyone put some numbers together to assess what the price of ETN would be using various assumptions about the size of the network/number of users?

Thanks,

Squidward Tentacles


#2

Here is a great youtube video explaining Metcalfes law as it applies to Electroneum: /watch?v=9CIfVuWR418


#3

My formula price=active_users x active_users/registered_users/1000000
If I estimate the active users to be 2*mobile miner users=246000
registered users 2.4mill
price=0.025
if active users= 218000, registered users=2.4mill
price=0.0198

if active users equals registered users then price is users/1mill i.e. 1mill users -> price=1.
1bill. users -> price 1k

of course FOMO can change the price much higher

if all the current 2.4mil users become active then the max price is 2.4


#4

That’s a good prediction. Lol


#5

so a way to raise the price to activate the registered users. ETN team should send them emails to encourage them to buy ETN.


#6

Ikelemen, how did you decide to use active users vs. registered users?


#7

I decided to use active vs registered users just by hunch