First off, I want to note that ASIC miners are NOT the problem for our current price and supply. I know that block times are 2 minutes and the reward is set? meaning the new amount of coins created daily would be the same if we had only 1 GPU mining the network or 10,000 ASICs running.
Ok, so, I have been thinking and noticing the vast amount of new ETN coins that come into existence every day and many of these coins are being sold on the markets, this is causing us an oversupply issue which is also causing reduced confidence and this is causing a feedback loop.
I believe this is because the block reward is too high, I think the reward needs to be reduced, from anywhere from 30% - 50% reduction. I’m an ASIC miner running at 305kh/s, yes I mine to HODL but do feel the payouts ate far too high to be sustainable and also to be absorbed by the market. If we are to see growth and attain the true value ETN deserves to be at then we need a drastic reduction in the block reward.
Each block reward is reducing by about 0.01 and will half every year (same time next year will be about 4150 ETN per block for example), with a linear reduction profile.
The 6 million coins matter a lot at the current volume levels. And demand on ordinary trading days is just not high enough at the moment to absorb much of the supply market depth without having some impact on price (but I think about 50-75 are dumped). I think most people would agree with you that at the moment the impact is too much and the timing in this early commercial phase is not the best. That said, in a year the level will be much more appropriate. Likely half the coins with (assuming a ongoing successful project) double or more average daily volume turnover.
My understanding is as follows:
Block 1 (6 billion coins) premined held by Electroneum for cloud mining/ partner incentives
CMC circulating supply (9 billion coins)
Coins yet to be mined (6 billion).
TOTAL 21 billion coins
I totally agreed with this one year ago. But now that were a year further down the road, i think i would just prefer to get it over with.
There is no doubt that the newly minted coins are creating a lot of downward pressure. This is exacerbated by the low amount of buying pressure so the end result is lowering the price. Throw into that equation that the unlimited deal will have them having setup an API to automatically exchange the ETN into a FIAT of their choosing and an even bigger impact is felt.
If the unlimited were to market ETN to their current users, or if they were to do what was announced falsely (double data etc by using etn) that would instantly fix the issue. But i dont think that was ever part of the plan but i stand ready to be corrected
We need more people buying to restore the balance, with cryptopia being down, and people waiting on the sidelines watching what bitcoin is going to do next amongst other variable factors… the demand just isnt there right now.
As the BC reward reduces gradually over the next couple of years we will see a better balance, even if demand just stays the same (although i believe it will increase) im sort of looking at it in the scense of - right now ETN is on sale, and it wont be as the BC reward is reduced. If we/you/me can ignore current price then we will see the next year or so as our 1 oppertunity to grab as much ETN as we can in knowing that in future such large amounts will be impossible to come by without selling your house.
In 1yr the BC Reward has fell from 12,000 over 2 mins, to 8300 over 2 mins… now that is over with id rather it kept crashing as low as possible instead of an algorithm change that prolonged the process. Just my own opinion edit. Some typos
Mining anything right now is not profitable unless you have extremely low power cost (under 6-7 cents/kwh). Anyone mining (actual mining, not cloud mining) right now is mining for future value and only doing it simply because they have the equipment to use. This goes across the board, including ETN.
Nothing is profitable for me to mine as i have a GPU Vega Rig. But i mine other coins and sell them for ETN. In the UK the price for Electricity is c.15pence (20cents) so i would be cheaper buying the ETN but i prefer to do both.
If i am mopping up some ETN that is getting spilled by the miner dumpers, i am doing a small amount of helping restore the balance. This is why i have previously encouraged anyone in the community with a home PC to turn it to mine some CC, and then sell that CC for ETN. It wouldn’t take much people to make a sizeable dent in absorbing the dumped coins just by using their home computer. And this would alone have a positive effect on the price of ETN.
I made a thread about this 6months ago, but only 2 or 3 people came forward to ask how to do it.
I’m with you, not getting much but steadily mining ETH for ETN. I just ignore the fact it’s costing power (I’m only running one RX580,) the long term gains will far outweigh a small amount of electric…plus it’s nice when I get a little ETH and can do the exchange game! Feels far more fun than when I just buy.
Yeah, I have a good friend who usually points me in the best direction. I did buy a lesser card (R9 280X) to go with it but it just couldn’t do ETH so I started mining ZEC…, I miscalculated the amount per month from the two cards! It was actually only £4 a month!! Sold it and bought ETN with the money, back to ETH. Yeah it’s small time, but ignoring the power it’s around 2k ETN a month. One day I’ll be glad of that little 580 whizzing away.
I used to do some CPU mining of Iridium and swap that for ETN but then the difficulty went up and price went down and I couldn’t justify it any longer so turned the old PC off. Its sat gathering dust in the garage at the moment
Block reward has come down significantly over the last some months and it will keep going down. Just in September of 2018 we were close to 11,000 per block, right now we are locking to go below 8,000. Reducing quite fast if you ask me.
I believe this will be too little too late. I feel a drastic change is needed, yesterday. Say half the emission output per block and freeze it for 6 months, before reinitiating the reduction algorythm. Just my 10cents.